2028 RACE TIGHTENS AS NEW OCTA SURVEY REVEALS SHIFTING POLITICAL GROUND

A new Tugon ng Masa (TNM) survey conducted by OCTA Research suggests a highly competitive political landscape heading into the 2028 elections, with the hypothetical tandem of Leni Robredo and Raffy Tulfo securing 44% support, closely followed by Sara Duterte and Imee Marcos at 40%.

The numbers reveal deep regional divides:

• Robredo–Tulfo dominates in NCR and Balance Luzon

• Duterte–Marcos posts overwhelming support in Mindanao

• Class D and E voters remain the crucial swing bloc

Perhaps the most important figure in the survey is the 16% still undecided — a segment that could ultimately shape the direction of the 2028 race.

While the elections remain years away, analysts say the latest figures point to a rapidly evolving political landscape and a narrowing gap between major political forces.

According to OCTA Research President Ranjit Rye, the data came directly from their March 2026 fieldwork.

What does this early survey say about the country's political mood? And who stands to gain the most from the undecided vote?